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Date: April 29, 2024 Mon
Time: 9:05 pm
Time: 9:05 pm
Results for release on recognizance
1 results foundAuthor: Jung, Jongbin Title: Simple Rules for Complex Decisions Summary: Judges, doctors, and managers are among those decision makers who must often choose a course of action under limited time, with limited knowledge, and without the aid of a computer. Because data-driven methods typically outperform unaided judgments, resource-constrained practitioners can benefit from simple, statistically derived rules that can be applied mentally. In this work, we formalize longstanding observations about the efficacy of improper linear models to construct accurate yet easily memorized rules. To test the performance of this approach, we conduct a large-scale evaluation in 23 domains and focus in depth on one: judicial decisions to release or detain defendants while they await trial. In these domains, we find that simple rules rival the accuracy of complex prediction models that base decisions on considerably more information. Further, comparing to unaided judicial decisions, we find that simple rules substantially outperform the human experts. To conclude, we present an analytical framework that sheds light on why simple rules perform as well as they do. Details: S.L., 2017. 19p. Source: Internet Resource: Accessed March 17, 2019 at: https://arxiv.org/abs/1702.04690 Year: 2017 Country: United States URL: https://5harad.com/papers/simple-rules.pdf Shelf Number: 155004 Keywords: Detain Defendants Failure to Appear Judicial Decision Making Judicial Decisions Release Defendants Release on Recognizance |